Would Tories be punished again at a Harrow by-election?

Seemingly Labour candidate Maxine Henson is all set to comfortably win at the Roxbourne Ward by-election, called due to the sad death of Cllr Bob Currie.
Labour’s share of votes at the ward was 31% higher than Tories at the last council election.
Added to this, Tories have been consistently facing defeats under Cllr Hall’s leadership – lost the councils in 2010 and 2014 and two by-elections in between.
Cllr Hall now leads a highly divided group as 42.31% members of her group did not vote for her at the recent leadership election.
Furthermore, the Tories keep selecting ‘divisive’ candidates in a harmonious and peaceful Harrow.
Harrow East MP Bob Blackman is well known for stirring up emotions for votes by taking sides in Asian or Middle East conflicts. Similarly, he shows no respect to strong British feelings against Trump ideology (see the footage below), as indicated by his collusive letter.
Not only this, but the Tories have also selected Mr Blackman’s equally ‘divisive’ assistant for the Queensbury ward.
(Click the play button to play the video, fullscreen by clicking the fullscreen button – bottom right – last )